Russia · First League

Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk Prediction

· Avangard Stadium

Veles badgeVeles vs Volga Ulyanovsk badgeVolga Ulyanovsk

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double chance, though the absence of a clear favorite reflects genuine uncertainty.
  • Veles's stronger recent form and superior home record support the advice, but their away scoring average of 0.80 reveals a limited attack.
  • Volga's poor away defence and winless away clean sheets strengthen the case for Veles avoiding defeat at home.
  • Head-to-head heavily favors Volga, yet those meetings span multiple seasons and leagues, weakening their relevance to current form.
  • Both teams' goal profiles point to a low-scoring contest, with under 2.5 goals dominating their recent matches.
  • Volga's tendency to concede late and struggle for away goals suggests they are unlikely to win, supporting the draw-inclusive advice.
Predicted winner
Veles
Betting advice
Double chance : Veles or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVelesVolga Ulyanovsk
Form62.0%38.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2h7.0%93.0%
Goals27.0%73.0%
Total44.5%55.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Veles

Recent form: WWLWWLWWWDLD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Volga Ulyanovsk

Recent form: LLWLWLLDWDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Veles 0–2 Volga Ulyanovsk (02 Jul 2026)
  2. Veles 1–2 Volga Ulyanovsk (28 May 2025)
  3. Volga Ulyanovsk 3–2 Veles (13 Apr 2025)
  4. Veles 0–0 Volga Ulyanovsk (12 Nov 2023)
  5. Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 Veles (16 Jul 2023)
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