Japan · J2 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction

· Yurtec Stadium

Vegalta Sendai badgeVegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata badgeJubilo Iwata

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since the combined 90% reflects Vegalta's stronger form and attack.
  • Vegalta's 68 form and attack scores against Jubilo's 32 support the home side, though the draw probability shows this edge is not decisive.
  • Jubilo's 60% head-to-head advantage conflicts with the model's lean, but recent form and Poisson metrics outweigh older meetings.
  • Vegalta's 1.90 goals per game and 0.90 conceded suggest a controlled match, while Jubilo's 1.40 conceded average keeps them competitive.
  • Vegalta's five wins in eight, including four away, contrast with Jubilo's four losses, strengthening the double chance advice.
  • Both teams' low under-2.5 goal rates indicate a tight contest, which supports covering the draw rather than backing a straight home win.
Predicted winner
Vegalta Sendai
Betting advice
Double chance : Vegalta Sendai or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorVegalta SendaiJubilo Iwata
Form68.0%32.0%
Attack68.0%32.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson57.0%43.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Vegalta Sendai

Recent form: LDWWWDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Jubilo Iwata

Recent form: DLWWLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai (28 Jun 2025)
  2. Vegalta Sendai 2–3 Jubilo Iwata (23 Mar 2025)
  3. Jubilo Iwata 4–1 Vegalta Sendai (06 Aug 2023)
  4. Vegalta Sendai 2–3 Jubilo Iwata (11 Jun 2023)
  5. Vegalta Sendai 2–1 Jubilo Iwata (03 Aug 2019)
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