Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction
· Yurtec Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since the combined 90% reflects Vegalta's stronger form and attack.
- Vegalta's 68 form and attack scores against Jubilo's 32 support the home side, though the draw probability shows this edge is not decisive.
- Jubilo's 60% head-to-head advantage conflicts with the model's lean, but recent form and Poisson metrics outweigh older meetings.
- Vegalta's 1.90 goals per game and 0.90 conceded suggest a controlled match, while Jubilo's 1.40 conceded average keeps them competitive.
- Vegalta's five wins in eight, including four away, contrast with Jubilo's four losses, strengthening the double chance advice.
- Both teams' low under-2.5 goal rates indicate a tight contest, which supports covering the draw rather than backing a straight home win.
- Predicted winner
- Vegalta Sendai
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Vegalta Sendai or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Vegalta Sendai | Jubilo Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Attack | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Vegalta Sendai
Recent form: LDWWWDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Jubilo Iwata
Recent form: DLWWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai (28 Jun 2025)
- Vegalta Sendai 2–3 Jubilo Iwata (23 Mar 2025)
- Jubilo Iwata 4–1 Vegalta Sendai (06 Aug 2023)
- Vegalta Sendai 2–3 Jubilo Iwata (11 Jun 2023)
- Vegalta Sendai 2–1 Jubilo Iwata (03 Aug 2019)


