Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw probability matches the home win, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges rather than backing Växjö Norra outright.
- Växjö Norra's defensive score of 85 against Karlshamn's 15 underpins the low away probability, though the modest 45% home win share reflects lingering draw risk.
- Karlshamn's six-match losing streak and 2.60 goals conceded per game explain why the model assigns only 10% to an away win.
- Växjö Norra's recent draws against Räppe, Nosaby and Lilla Torg show a tendency to stall, which justifies the draw component of the double chance.
- The head-to-head record favours Växjö Norra, yet Karlshamn's 2-1 away win in May 2026 shows the fixture can still produce upsets.
- Karlshamn's attack averages just 1.00 goal per game, so even a weakened Växjö Norra defence faces limited scoring threat.
- Predicted winner
- Växjö Norra
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Växjö Norra or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Växjö Norra | Karlshamn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Poisson | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| H2h | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 77.8% | 22.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Växjö Norra
Recent form: WWWDWDDWWLDDLLLWLLWWDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Karlshamn
Recent form: LLLLLLWLLDWLLLDLLLWLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Karlshamn 1–2 Växjö Norra (22 May 2026)
- Karlshamn 0–0 Växjö Norra (15 Aug 2025)
- Växjö Norra 2–0 Karlshamn (04 Apr 2025)


