Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn Prediction

Växjö Norra badgeVäxjö Norra vs Karlshamn badgeKarlshamn

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw probability matches the home win, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges rather than backing Växjö Norra outright.
  • Växjö Norra's defensive score of 85 against Karlshamn's 15 underpins the low away probability, though the modest 45% home win share reflects lingering draw risk.
  • Karlshamn's six-match losing streak and 2.60 goals conceded per game explain why the model assigns only 10% to an away win.
  • Växjö Norra's recent draws against Räppe, Nosaby and Lilla Torg show a tendency to stall, which justifies the draw component of the double chance.
  • The head-to-head record favours Växjö Norra, yet Karlshamn's 2-1 away win in May 2026 shows the fixture can still produce upsets.
  • Karlshamn's attack averages just 1.00 goal per game, so even a weakened Växjö Norra defence faces limited scoring threat.
Predicted winner
Växjö Norra
Betting advice
Double chance : Växjö Norra or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVäxjö NorraKarlshamn
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence85.0%15.0%
Poisson82.0%18.0%
H2h88.0%13.0%
Goals80.0%20.0%
Total77.8%22.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Växjö Norra

Recent form: WWWDWDDWWLDDLLLWLLWWDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Karlshamn

Recent form: LLLLLLWLLDWLLLDLLLWLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Karlshamn 1–2 Växjö Norra (22 May 2026)
  2. Karlshamn 0–0 Växjö Norra (15 Aug 2025)
  3. Växjö Norra 2–0 Karlshamn (04 Apr 2025)
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