Sweden · Ettan - Norra

Vasalund vs Arlanda Prediction

· Skytteholms IP

Vasalund badgeVasalund vs Arlanda badgeArlanda

Match prediction

  • Arlanda's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson scores justify favouring them, though the 45-45 split shows the model sees draw risk nearly equal.
  • Vasalund's weak home record of five wins against five losses and six defeats overall undercuts their home advantage, supporting the double chance.
  • Arlanda's ten clean sheets and 1.10 goals-against average contrast sharply with Vasalund's leaky defence, reinforcing the away side's edge.
  • Arlanda's recent form of three wins in five, including two clean sheets, outweighs Vasalund's single win, strengthening confidence in the draw-or-Arlanda advice.
  • Head-to-head favours Arlanda with two wins and a draw in four meetings, though Vasalund's friendly win shows the fixture is not one-sided.
  • Both teams concede most goals late, so late drama could threaten the draw component even if Arlanda's overall superiority holds.
Predicted winner
Arlanda
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Arlanda
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVasalundArlanda
Form31.0%69.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals38.0%62.0%
Total36.0%64.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Vasalund

Recent form: LLWDDLWLWWLDLLDWDWLLLDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Arlanda

Recent form: WWDWWDDDDLWWWWLDLWWLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Arlanda 2–1 Vasalund (03 Apr 2026)
  2. Vasalund 3–2 Arlanda (25 Jan 2026)
  3. Arlanda 4–1 Vasalund (26 Oct 2025)
  4. Vasalund 0–0 Arlanda (27 Apr 2025)
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