Croatia · Second NL

Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica Prediction

Varteks Varaždin badgeVarteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica badgeKoprivnica

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome separates decisively.
  • Varteks' stronger form, attack, defence and head-to-head scores support favouring them, though the Poisson split contradicts that by favouring Koprivnica entirely.
  • Koprivnica's five straight defeats and 2.7 goals conceded per game weaken their case, but Varteks' own poor form and winless home record temper confidence.
  • Both teams have failed to score three times and kept no clean sheets, so a draw remains a plausible outcome within the double chance.
  • Varteks' head-to-head dominance at home, including a 7-0 win, supports the home side, yet recent meetings show Koprivnica capable of away victories.
  • The advice covers the draw because Varteks' single home fixture produced a loss, making an outright home win less secure than the probabilities suggest.
Predicted winner
Varteks Varaždin
Betting advice
Double chance : Varteks Varaždin or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorVarteks VaraždinKoprivnica
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total65.3%34.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Varteks Varaždin

Recent form: LLLWLD.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Koprivnica

Recent form: WDLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Koprivnica 0–2 Varteks Varaždin (31 May 2025)
  2. Varteks Varaždin 7–0 Koprivnica (15 Feb 2025)
  3. Varteks Varaždin 2–0 Koprivnica (06 Apr 2024)
  4. Koprivnica 0–2 Varteks Varaždin (04 Nov 2023)
  5. Varteks Varaždin 4–0 Koprivnica (02 Sep 2023)
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