Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II Prediction
· Mestsky stadion v Kotline
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since Varnsdorf's edge is real but not decisive.
- Varnsdorf's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings contrast with Liberec II's weak recent record, supporting the home-or-draw advice.
- Liberec II's away scoring average of 1.00 and three failed-to-score games suggest limited attacking threat, reinforcing draw coverage.
- Head-to-head is mixed, with Liberec II winning the most recent league meeting, so the draw component of the advice remains necessary.
- Varnsdorf's defence rating is only marginally better than Liberec II's, which tempers confidence in a clean home victory.
- Both teams concede frequently late, so a narrow or drawn outcome is plausible despite Varnsdorf's overall statistical advantage.
- Predicted winner
- Varnsdorf
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Varnsdorf or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Varnsdorf | Slovan Liberec II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Defence | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Varnsdorf
Recent form: WLWWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Slovan Liberec II
Recent form: WLLDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Varnsdorf 1–2 Slovan Liberec II (10 May 2026)
- Slovan Liberec II 5–0 Varnsdorf (10 Oct 2025)
- Varnsdorf 4–1 Slovan Liberec II (05 Feb 2025)
- Varnsdorf 3–1 Slovan Liberec II (10 Jul 2024)
- Varnsdorf 6–1 Slovan Liberec II (31 Jan 2024)