Varesina vs Pro Patria Prediction
Match prediction
- Pro Patria's four wins in five, including three straight away victories, justify the model's 50% away probability and the draw-or-away advice.
- Varesina's single win in five, with three defeats and no clean sheets, explains why the model assigns zero probability to a home win.
- Pro Patria's defensive record of 0.8 goals conceded per game contrasts sharply with Varesina's 2.0, supporting the double-chance selection.
- The lone head-to-head meeting ended 0-2 to Pro Patria, reinforcing the away-side edge despite being a 2023 friendly.
- Pro Patria's 3.0 away goals per game against Varesina's 1.3 suggests the visitors carry the greater attacking threat.
- Varesina's recent 2-4 away loss and 0-1 home defeat show defensive fragility that the model's 71% defensive rating for Pro Patria exploits.
- Predicted winner
- Pro Patria
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Pro Patria
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Varesina | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Varesina
Recent form: WDLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Pro Patria
Recent form: WWWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Varesina 0–2 Pro Patria (05 Aug 2023)