Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Vänersborgs FK or draw
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright win, since neither outcome is dominant.
- Vänersborgs' superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their inclusion, though the even head-to-head record tempers confidence.
- Kumla's stronger goals metric and away clean-sheet record show they can frustrate, keeping the draw probability meaningful.
- Vänersborgs' poor home defence, conceding 2.20 per game, undermines their win case and reinforces the draw protection.
- Kumla's away form is weak, losing eight of twelve, which supports favouring the home side despite their defensive flaws.
- Both teams' recent matches were low-scoring, suggesting a tight contest where double chance is safer than a win-only bet.
- Predicted winner
- Vänersborgs FK
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Vänersborgs FK or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Vänersborgs FK | Kumla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Vänersborgs FK
Recent form: LWDWDLDWDLLLLWLLWLWWWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Kumla
Recent form: WWWDDLDLLLDDWLLWLLLDDLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kumla 0–0 Vänersborgs FK (25 Apr 2026)
- Kumla 1–2 Vänersborgs FK (02 Aug 2025)
- Vänersborgs FK 2–1 Kumla (24 May 2025)
- Vänersborgs FK 0–4 Kumla (11 Oct 2024)
- Kumla 3–2 Vänersborgs FK (15 Jun 2024)