Valle Egüés vs Aoiz Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Valle Egüés avoids defeat in 90% of outcomes.
• Aoiz's stronger recent form and superior Poisson rating conflict with the home-favouring head-to-head and attack metrics, explaining why the win probability is capped at 45%.
• Valle Egüés's defensive weakness, conceding two goals per game, offsets their attacking edge and supports the draw component of the advice.
• Aoiz's low 10% win probability reflects their weak attack and poor head-to-head record, despite their unbeaten four-match start.
• Both teams' tendency toward draws, with Valle Egüés drawing twice and Aoiz three times, reinforces the double-chance selection.
• The head-to-head record, featuring a draw and a narrow home win, supports the advice while cautioning against a straight home victory.

Predicted winner

Valle Egüés

Betting advice

Double chance : Valle Egüés or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Aoiz 0–0 Valle Egüés (07 Mar 2026)
2. Valle Egüés 2–1 Aoiz (25 Oct 2025)