Valladolid vs Cordoba Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Cordoba as the winner, yet its own probabilities of 10% for Valladolid, 45% for a draw and 45% for Cordoba suggest this is closer to a coin-flip between an away win and a stalemate than a confident selection. That tension is visible in the comparison metrics, where Cordoba's advantages in form (55 versus 45), attack (70 versus 30) and Poisson (75 versus 25) are offset by Valladolid's stronger defence score (63 versus 38) and a near-even goals split (53 versus 47), while the head-to-head metric is perfectly balanced at 50-50. The team-level records reinforce this split: Valladolid's six-game form of LLDWLD includes two draws and only one win, whereas Cordoba's LWLLLW contains two wins but also a three-match losing streak, so both sides arrive with unresolved inconsistency. Valladolid's goals analysis shows a blunt attack averaging 0.50 goals per game and failing to score in three of six matches, but also a relatively contained defensive record of 1.30 conceded per game, which helps explain why the model still assigns a meaningful draw probability. Cordoba's goals analysis points the other way, with a healthier 1.50 goals per game and 2.00 per away match, but a leaky 2.20 conceded per game and no clean sheets at all, so their attacking edge comes with defensive risk. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Valladolid have scored just three goals across those matches (1-1, 0-3, 1-0, 1-1, 0-1), while Cordoba have scored seven but conceded eight (2-1, 0-2, 2-3, 1-3, 2-1), suggesting Cordoba's games are more open and volatile. The head-to-head record offers little separation, with two draws and alternating home wins across six meetings, including a 0-0 in Valladolid in August 2025 and a 3-1 Cordoba home win in January 2026, so recent history does not clearly favour either side. Taken together, the evidence supports the away-win advice mainly through Cordoba's superior attack and Poisson scores, but the balanced head-to-head, Valladolid's better defence and the equal 45% draw probability qualify that view considerably. The under-over market is unavailable in the supplied evidence, so no conclusion can be drawn about total goals from that section.

Predicted winner

Cordoba

Betting advice

Winner : Cordoba

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Cordoba 3–1 Valladolid (31 Jan 2026)
2. Valladolid 0–0 Cordoba (30 Aug 2025)
3. Cordoba 2–1 Valladolid (25 Feb 2018)
4. Valladolid 4–1 Cordoba (30 Sep 2017)
5. Valladolid 2–1 Cordoba (09 Apr 2017)