Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Valenzana vs Borgosesia Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Borgosesia a 45% away win and 45% draw probability, leaving Valenzana at just 10%, so the advice of a draw-or-Borgosesia double chance reflects a strongly lopsided outlook rather than a marginal call. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Borgosesia's form score of 67.00 dwarfs Valenzana's 33.00 and their defensive rating of 70.00 contrasts with Valenzana's 30.00, although the attack metric flips the other way at 80.00 for Valenzana against 20.00 for Borgosesia. The Poisson, head-to-head, and goals comparison columns are all populated with 0.00 values, which suggests those inputs are effectively neutral or unavailable and therefore cannot be used to either confirm or challenge the probabilities. Valenzana's team analysis shows a four-match record of LLLD with no wins, three defeats, and no clean sheets, while Borgosesia's three-match LDD record includes two draws, one loss, and one clean sheet, so the form edge rests on a small and uneven sample of matches. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: Valenzana have scored four goals at 1.00 per game but conceded seven at 1.80, whereas Borgosesia have scored just one goal at 0.30 per game while conceding only three at 1.00, pointing to a low-scoring, defensively tighter away side. Valenzana's last five results, including a 2-2 draw at Asti and defeats to Lascaris, Millesimo, Alessandria, and Chisola, show they can find the net but rarely avoid conceding, which is consistent with their failure to keep a single clean sheet. Borgosesia's last five are more mixed, with goalless draws against Bra and Gozzano, a 0-2 home loss to Saluzzo, and an older 1-0 win over Chieri, underlining that their defensive solidity comes with a blunt attack that has failed to score in two of three league games. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no direct historical record to corroborate or undermine the model's lean toward Borgosesia. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance advice mainly through Borgosesia's superior form and defence, but the weak attacking output and the small sample sizes mean the draw component of that advice carries much of the weight.
- Predicted winner
- Borgosesia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Borgosesia
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Valenzana | Borgosesia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Defence | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Valenzana
Recent form: LLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Borgosesia
Recent form: LDD.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


