Valencia W vs Granad. Tenerife W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Granad. Tenerife W a double chance of draw or win, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% draw and 45% away against only 10% for Valencia W, so the advice rests on a strong expectation that the visitors avoid defeat. That expectation is reinforced by the form comparison, where Granad. Tenerife W registers 100.00 against Valencia's 0.00, reflecting Valencia's four straight league defeats (LLLL) against a Tenerife record of two draws and two losses (LDDL). However, the comparison metrics are not uniformly pro-Tenerife: Valencia leads on attack (60.00 vs 40.00) and on the Poisson measure (66.00 vs 34.00), which suggests the home side may create more than its results imply, while Tenerife's edge comes mainly from the head-to-head (71.00 vs 29.00) and goals (64.00 vs 36.00) splits. The goals analysis complicates the picture further, as Valencia has scored only 0.80 per game but conceded 2.50, while Tenerife has scored just 0.50 per game and conceded 2.30, meaning both defences have leaked heavily and neither attack has been prolific. Valencia's last five show four losses and a draw, including a 1-3 home defeat to Madrid CFF W and a 0-2 loss at Deportivo Alavés W, with no clean sheets across its four league matches. Tenerife's last five are similarly mixed, featuring a 1-3 home loss to Sevilla W, a 5-0 away defeat at Barcelona W, but also goalless and 1-1 draws that show it can at least avoid defeat. The head-to-head record leans toward Tenerife, which has won four of the last ten meetings and lost three, including a 2-1 away win at this same Estadio Antonio Puchades in February 2025, though Valencia has also won at home in this series. Overall, the draw-or-Tenerife advice is supported by form, head-to-head and goals data, but the Poisson and attack metrics pointing to Valencia, plus the very low 10% home win probability, indicate this is a finely balanced, low-confidence call rather than a clear edge.

Predicted winner

Granad. Tenerife W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Granad. Tenerife W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Valencia W 1–2 Granad. Tenerife W (09 Feb 2025)
2. Granad. Tenerife W 2–0 Valencia W (16 Nov 2024)
3. Granad. Tenerife W 1–0 Valencia W (27 Apr 2024)
4. Valencia W 1–1 Granad. Tenerife W (27 Jan 2024)
5. Valencia W 2–1 Granad. Tenerife W (04 Mar 2023)