Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva Prediction
Match prediction
- Both sides sit on identical form and defence scores, so the model's split 35-35-35 probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Valencia II's attack rating of 67 against Peña Deportiva's 33 is the strongest differentiator, supporting the home-or-draw side of the advice.
- Peña Deportiva's head-to-head and goals scores favour them, but those edges rest on small samples and do not overturn the near-even win probabilities.
- Neither team has won in four matches and both have failed to keep a clean sheet, which supports the draw leg of the double chance.
- Every match for both teams has stayed under 3.5 goals, directly reinforcing the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Peña Deportiva have failed to score in three of four games and average just 0.30 goals, strengthening the case for a low-scoring home-or-draw outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Valencia II
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Valencia II or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Valencia II | Peña Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 49.4% | 50.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Valencia II
Recent form: DLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Peña Deportiva
Recent form: LDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Valencia II 2–0 Peña Deportiva (16 Feb 2025)
- Peña Deportiva 3–0 Valencia II (06 Oct 2024)
- Valencia II 1–0 Peña Deportiva (04 Feb 2024)
- Peña Deportiva 2–1 Valencia II (24 Sep 2023)
- Peña Deportiva 1–0 Valencia II (07 May 2023)


