Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4

Våg vs Varhaug Prediction

Våg badgeVåg vs Varhaug badgeVarhaug

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Våg avoids defeat in 90% of outcomes.
  • Varhaug's superior away record, six wins and one loss, undercuts the home-favouring prediction despite the model's confidence.
  • Våg's recent form of three wins and a draw in five contrasts with Varhaug's mixed results, supporting the home side's attacking momentum.
  • The lone head-to-head meeting ended 1-0 to Våg away, a small sample that nonetheless reinforces the model's lean toward the home team.
  • Both attacks score most heavily after the half-hour, so the draw probability may reflect an expectation of a tight, late-decided contest.
  • Varhaug's stronger defence and goal difference suggest the double chance is safer than a straight home win, matching the model's cautious advice.
Predicted winner
Våg
Betting advice
Double chance : Våg or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorVågVarhaug
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson33.0%67.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Våg

Recent form: WLWLLLLWLWLWDLLLLWWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Varhaug

Recent form: WDLWDDWLWLWDDLWWWWLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Varhaug 0–1 Våg (25 May 2026)
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