Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4
Våg vs Varhaug Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Våg avoids defeat in 90% of outcomes.
- Varhaug's superior away record, six wins and one loss, undercuts the home-favouring prediction despite the model's confidence.
- Våg's recent form of three wins and a draw in five contrasts with Varhaug's mixed results, supporting the home side's attacking momentum.
- The lone head-to-head meeting ended 1-0 to Våg away, a small sample that nonetheless reinforces the model's lean toward the home team.
- Both attacks score most heavily after the half-hour, so the draw probability may reflect an expectation of a tight, late-decided contest.
- Varhaug's stronger defence and goal difference suggest the double chance is safer than a straight home win, matching the model's cautious advice.
- Predicted winner
- Våg
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Våg or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Våg | Varhaug |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Poisson | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Våg
Recent form: WLWLLLLWLWLWDLLLLWWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Varhaug
Recent form: WDLWDDWLWLWDDLWWWWLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Varhaug 0–1 Våg (25 May 2026)


