Uzbekistan vs Syria Prediction
Uzbekistan vs 
Syria
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities show no clear edge for the outright winner, so the combo advice leans on goals rather than a decisive result.
- Uzbekistan's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their side of the combo, though the equal draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Syria's head-to-head 62% edge and Uzbekistan's leaky defence qualify the home pick, suggesting Syria can contribute to the +1.5 goals line.
- Both teams' goal data show frequent over 1.5 outcomes, reinforcing the goals half of the advice despite the winner market being finely balanced.
- Uzbekistan's home scoring average of 3.00 contrasts with Syria's away defensive record, supporting the expectation of multiple goals.
- Syria's small two-match sample and winless run make their head-to-head advantage less reliable than Uzbekistan's stronger overall metrics.
- Predicted winner
- Uzbekistan
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Uzbekistan and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Uzbekistan | Syria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Uzbekistan
Recent form: DWLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Syria
Recent form: LD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Uzbekistan 0–0 Syria (13 Jan 2024)
- Uzbekistan 0–1 Syria (12 Nov 2020)
- Uzbekistan 2–0 Syria (11 Jun 2019)
- Uzbekistan 1–1 Syria (06 Sep 2018)
- Syria 1–0 Uzbekistan (23 Mar 2017)