England · FA Cup

Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Prediction

Uxbridge badgeUxbridge vs Hungerford Town badgeHungerford Town

Match prediction

  • The model's three-way probabilities are nearly level, so the double-chance advice on Uxbridge or draw is a low-conviction hedge rather than a clear edge.
  • Uxbridge's superior form and defensive score contrast with Hungerford's perfect but short two-match winning run, supporting the cautious home-or-draw stance.
  • Hungerford's 3.50 away goals per game and Uxbridge's 2.30 average suggest goals are likely, though the small sample limits how much weight this carries.
  • The head-to-head record is split, with each side winning at home, so it neither confirms nor undermines the model's slight lean toward Uxbridge.
  • Uxbridge's unbeaten three-match form run and two clean sheets indicate defensive reliability that justifies covering the draw alongside a home win.
  • Hungerford's away form is built on only two matches, so their strong attacking numbers should be treated as a trend rather than a settled pattern.
Predicted winner
Uxbridge
Betting advice
Double chance : Uxbridge or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorUxbridgeHungerford Town
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson24.0%76.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals88.0%13.0%
Total49.8%50.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Uxbridge

Recent form: WDW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Hungerford Town

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hungerford Town 0–4 Uxbridge (07 Mar 2026)
  2. Uxbridge 3–1 Hungerford Town (14 Oct 2025)
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