Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Utrera vs Cádiz II Prediction

Utrera badgeUtrera vs Cádiz II badgeCádiz II

Match prediction

  • Utrera's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities show no clear winner.
  • Cádiz II's superior head-to-head record and goal metrics qualify the pick, suggesting the draw component carries real weight.
  • Utrera's defensive edge at home, conceding just once there, offsets Cádiz II's away scoring threat and reinforces avoiding a straight home win.
  • Cádiz II's tendency to draw and fail to score at home indicates a low-scoring, tight match where the draw leg is plausible.
  • Both sides' totals stay under 2.5 goals, pointing to a cautious contest that favors the double chance over an outright result.
  • The narrow probability spread and conflicting form versus head-to-head signals justify the advice's protective draw coverage rather than a single winner.
Predicted winner
Utrera
Betting advice
Double chance : Utrera or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorUtreraCádiz II
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson60.0%40.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Utrera

Recent form: LWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Cádiz II

Recent form: DDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cádiz II 2–1 Utrera (24 Jan 2026)
  2. Utrera 0–1 Cádiz II (14 Sep 2025)
  3. Cádiz II 2–1 Utrera (07 May 2023)
  4. Utrera 2–1 Cádiz II (08 Jan 2023)
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