Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Utrera vs Cádiz II Prediction
Match prediction
- Utrera's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities show no clear winner.
- Cádiz II's superior head-to-head record and goal metrics qualify the pick, suggesting the draw component carries real weight.
- Utrera's defensive edge at home, conceding just once there, offsets Cádiz II's away scoring threat and reinforces avoiding a straight home win.
- Cádiz II's tendency to draw and fail to score at home indicates a low-scoring, tight match where the draw leg is plausible.
- Both sides' totals stay under 2.5 goals, pointing to a cautious contest that favors the double chance over an outright result.
- The narrow probability spread and conflicting form versus head-to-head signals justify the advice's protective draw coverage rather than a single winner.
- Predicted winner
- Utrera
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Utrera or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Utrera | Cádiz II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Utrera
Recent form: LWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Cádiz II
Recent form: DDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cádiz II 2–1 Utrera (24 Jan 2026)
- Utrera 0–1 Cádiz II (14 Sep 2025)
- Cádiz II 2–1 Utrera (07 May 2023)
- Utrera 2–1 Cádiz II (08 Jan 2023)


