Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C

Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín Prediction

· Stadion TJ Jiskra

Ústí nad Orlicí badgeÚstí nad Orlicí vs Kolín badgeKolín

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Kolín's 10% away probability makes an away win the least likely outcome.
  • Ústí's superior defensive rating and four clean sheets contrast sharply with Kolín's zero clean sheets, supporting the home side's unbeaten expectation.
  • Kolín's stronger attack rating is offset by Ústí's recent form advantage and home unbeaten record, keeping the draw a genuine threat within the double chance.
  • Head-to-head history reinforces the advice, with Ústí unbeaten across five meetings and three of those ending level.
  • Ústí's low-scoring recent matches and Kolín's tendency toward tighter scorelines suggest the draw component carries real weight rather than serving as padding.
  • Kolín's away form is actually solid with two wins and no losses, so the double chance hedges against a competitive away side rather than a weak one.
Predicted winner
Ústí nad Orlicí
Betting advice
Double chance : Ústí nad Orlicí or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorÚstí nad OrlicíKolín
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence71.0%29.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h75.0%25.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total58.7%41.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Ústí nad Orlicí

Recent form: DWWLWWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Kolín

Recent form: DDDLWWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ústí nad Orlicí 1–1 Kolín (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Kolín 1–1 Ústí nad Orlicí (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Ústí nad Orlicí 2–1 Kolín (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Kolín 0–0 Ústí nad Orlicí (09 Oct 2024)
  5. Kolín 0–1 Ústí nad Orlicí (14 Aug 2019)
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