Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C
Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín Prediction
· Stadion TJ Jiskra
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Kolín's 10% away probability makes an away win the least likely outcome.
- Ústí's superior defensive rating and four clean sheets contrast sharply with Kolín's zero clean sheets, supporting the home side's unbeaten expectation.
- Kolín's stronger attack rating is offset by Ústí's recent form advantage and home unbeaten record, keeping the draw a genuine threat within the double chance.
- Head-to-head history reinforces the advice, with Ústí unbeaten across five meetings and three of those ending level.
- Ústí's low-scoring recent matches and Kolín's tendency toward tighter scorelines suggest the draw component carries real weight rather than serving as padding.
- Kolín's away form is actually solid with two wins and no losses, so the double chance hedges against a competitive away side rather than a weak one.
- Predicted winner
- Ústí nad Orlicí
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Ústí nad Orlicí or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ústí nad Orlicí | Kolín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ústí nad Orlicí
Recent form: DWWLWWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Kolín
Recent form: DDDLWWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ústí nad Orlicí 1–1 Kolín (28 Mar 2026)
- Kolín 1–1 Ústí nad Orlicí (30 Aug 2025)
- Ústí nad Orlicí 2–1 Kolín (12 Apr 2025)
- Kolín 0–0 Ústí nad Orlicí (09 Oct 2024)
- Kolín 0–1 Ústí nad Orlicí (14 Aug 2019)


