USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Mouloudia Oujda a 50% win probability and a 50% draw probability, with USM Oujda at 0%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Mouloudia Oujda rather than a straight away win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where the form, attack, defence and Poisson values are all 0.00 for both sides, indicating no usable current-season signal to separate them. The only comparison fields carrying weight are the head-to-head split of 20% to USM Oujda against 80% to Mouloudia Oujda and the goals split of 17% versus 83%, which together tilt the historical picture toward the away side. However, the team analysis and goals analysis sections are effectively empty, with zero fixtures played, zero wins, draws and losses, and 0.00 goal averages for both teams, so those sections cannot corroborate the head-to-head edge. The last-five records offer the only concrete recent form: USM Oujda have two wins, one draw and two losses, including a 1-2 home defeat to Mouloudia Oujda in June 2026, while Mouloudia Oujda have three draws, one loss and one win, a 2-1 home victory over USM Oujda in the same month. That contrast suggests Mouloudia Oujda have been harder to beat recently, yet their three consecutive 1-1 draws also show a tendency to share points rather than close games out. The head-to-head record supports the same tension, since Mouloudia Oujda won 2-1 in June 2026 and 3-0 away in December 2025, but the two most recent meetings before those produced 0-0 draws in May 2025 and December 2024. With the quantitative form and goals sections blank, the 50-50 draw-or-away split looks like a reasonable reflection of a fixture where Mouloudia Oujda hold the historical and recent edge, but the small four-match head-to-head sample and Mouloudia Oujda's draw-heavy run mean the double chance is a hedge rather than a confident call.

Predicted winner

Mouloudia Oujda

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Mouloudia Oujda

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Mouloudia Oujda 2–1 USM Oujda (06 Jun 2026)
2. USM Oujda 0–3 Mouloudia Oujda (06 Dec 2025)
3. USM Oujda 0–0 Mouloudia Oujda (03 May 2025)
4. Mouloudia Oujda 0–0 USM Oujda (28 Dec 2024)