Italy · Serie D - Girone D

USD Casatese vs Pistoiese Prediction

USD Casatese badgeUSD Casatese vs Pistoiese badgePistoiese

Match prediction

  • Pistoiese's perfect five-win start, including four clean sheets, justifies the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-away double chance.
  • Casatese's defence rating of 14 against Pistoiese's 86 is the sharpest split, explaining why the model gives the hosts only a 10% win chance.
  • Pistoiese's 0.20 goals-against average versus Casatese's 1.20 supports the away side's dominance, though the small five-match sample warrants caution.
  • The equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the model sees little separation between a Pistoiese win and a stalemate, making double chance the safer advice.
  • Casatese's 2.00 goals-per-game average and scoring in every home match suggest they can trouble a Pistoiese defence yet to concede away from home.
  • With no head-to-head history, the prediction rests entirely on current form and goal metrics, so the double chance hedges against the draw risk.
Predicted winner
Pistoiese
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Pistoiese
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorUSD CasatesePistoiese
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence14.0%86.0%
Poisson24.0%76.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total30.0%70.0%

Team form and goal analysis

USD Casatese

Recent form: WDLWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Pistoiese

Recent form: WWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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