USA vs Chile Prediction
· CITYPARK
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw probability matches the home win, so the double chance correctly hedges a genuinely uncertain friendly.
- USA's superior form, attack, and defence ratings support their favoured status, though the Poisson metric leans toward Chile.
- Chile's away form of one win in three and a 1-0 loss to Canada suggests limited attacking threat on the road.
- USA's home record of two wins and three losses with no clean sheets shows vulnerability despite their statistical edge.
- The only head-to-head meeting ended level, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance advice.
- Both teams' recent matches show goals at both ends, but the friendly context and small samples weaken any firm conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- USA
- Betting advice
- Double chance : USA or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | USA | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
USA
Recent form: LLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Chile
Recent form: LWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- USA 1–1 Chile (27 Mar 2019)