US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Saint Martin's win chance is only 10%.
• Saint Martin's attack rating of 80 exceeds the US Virgin Islands' 20, but that edge rests on an 8-0 win over Bahamas rather than consistent output.
• The US Virgin Islands' perfect defence rating reflects one clean sheet in a single match, a small sample that may overstate their defensive solidity.
• Saint Martin's 0 defence rating stems from conceding twice in the recent 0-2 loss to these same opponents, supporting the home side's double chance.
• Head-to-head data favours the US Virgin Islands at 67%, with all three meetings won by the away side, though two date back to 2019.
• Both teams show identical 50% form, so the prediction leans on the head-to-head edge and Saint Martin's defensive vulnerability rather than current momentum.

Predicted winner

US Virgin Islands

Betting advice

Double chance : US Virgin Islands or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Saint Martin 0–2 US Virgin Islands (26 Sep 2026)
2. US Virgin Islands 1–2 Saint Martin (20 Nov 2019)
3. Saint Martin 1–2 US Virgin Islands (08 Sep 2019)