Urena SC vs Trujillanos FC Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Urena SC or draw and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- The model's near-even probabilities (35/35/30) justify the double-chance cover rather than a straight home win, since no side is clearly favoured.
- Urena's superior form and defensive record, including two home clean sheets, support their inclusion in the double chance despite a weak head-to-head.
- Trujillanos' strong head-to-head and goals edge conflict with their winless form, which is why the model hedges toward a draw rather than backing either side outright.
- Both teams' goal data show every recent match staying under 3.5, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Trujillanos' tendency to concede late and Urena's late scoring suggest goals could arrive, but the low-scoring profiles keep the under 3.5 line credible.
- The small four-match sample limits confidence, so the combined double chance and under 3.5 goals reflects a cautious, low-variance expectation.
- Predicted winner
- Urena SC
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Urena SC or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Urena SC | Trujillanos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Urena SC
Recent form: WDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Trujillanos FC
Recent form: DDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Trujillanos FC 2–2 Urena SC (18 Aug 2026)
- Trujillanos FC 2–0 Urena SC (21 Sep 2025)
- Urena SC 1–1 Trujillanos FC (10 Aug 2025)
- Trujillanos FC 2–0 Urena SC (15 Jun 2025)
- Urena SC 0–3 Trujillanos FC (27 Apr 2025)