Uppsala W vs Djurgården W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw or Djurgården W double chance, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% each for draw and away win against only 10% for Uppsala W, and the comparison metrics reinforce that tilt through form (0 versus 100), attack (25 versus 75), defence (31 versus 69), Poisson (43 versus 57), head-to-head (38 versus 62), goals (32 versus 68) and total (33.80 versus 66.20). That said, the advice is cautious rather than confident, since Djurgården W's own form string of WLDLLLWDLLLLWWDWLLL and five wins from 19 matches is far from dominant, and their last five produced three defeats, a win and a draw. Uppsala W's position is considerably worse, with a form line of LDDLWLLDLLLLLLLLLLL, just one win and three draws across 19 games, and a last-five sequence of five straight losses in which they scored only once while conceding 18. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast: Uppsala W average 0.70 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per match, including 3.70 conceded away from home, whereas Djurgården W average 1.10 scored and 1.70 conceded, so the away side's edge is real but built on a modest attacking output. Djurgården W's scoring is also concentrated in the 16-30 minute window (35% of their goals), while Uppsala W concede most heavily in the 31-45 minute band (27.12%), a timing pattern that could favour the visitors without guaranteeing it. The head-to-head record is the most emphatic single strand, with Djurgården W winning 8-0 in the most recent meeting in August 2026 and also taking 4-0, 2-0 and 3-2 wins, though two draws at Studenternas IP in 2023 and 2024 show Uppsala W have occasionally held them. Those draws matter because they qualify the double chance: the model's 45% draw probability acknowledges that Djurgården W's away form includes seven defeats from ten and no away draws, so a stalemate is plausible even if the aggregate evidence points away from a home win. Overall, the evidence coheres around avoiding an Uppsala W victory rather than around a strong Djurgården W performance, and the small samples in the last-five and head-to-head records mean the 10% home probability should be read as a directional signal rather than a precise forecast.

Predicted winner

Djurgården W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Djurgården W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Djurgården W 8–0 Uppsala W (08 Aug 2026)
2. Uppsala W 2–2 Djurgården W (16 Oct 2024)
3. Djurgården W 0–4 Uppsala W (11 Nov 2023)
4. Uppsala W 1–1 Djurgården W (04 May 2023)
5. Djurgården W 4–0 Uppsala W (13 Mar 2021)