Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato Prediction
· Estadio Ester Roa
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of Huachipato's edge rather than a straight win.
- Huachipato's 85% head-to-head score, including a 5-1 win, supports the away lean despite Concepcion hosting.
- Concepcion's 10% win probability reflects a home record of five wins but only one away win and a five-game losing streak.
- Huachipato's 57% form score and 75% goals score outweigh Concepcion's superior defence and Poisson ratings, justifying the away bias.
- Concepcion's 2.30 away goals-against average versus 1.00 at home suggests their defensive solidity is venue-dependent, weakening the home case.
- Huachipato's 36.67% of goals scored after 76 minutes implies late threat, supporting the draw-or-away advice over a home win.
- Predicted winner
- Huachipato
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Huachipato
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Universidad de Concepcion | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Universidad de Concepcion
Recent form: WLWDLDWLWLLWDDLLLLLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Huachipato
Recent form: LWWWLLLWWWDWLLDDLLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Huachipato 5–1 Universidad de Concepcion (07 Apr 2026)
- Universidad de Concepcion 0–1 Huachipato (23 Nov 2020)
- Huachipato 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion (08 Feb 2020)
- Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Huachipato (18 Aug 2019)
- Huachipato 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion (19 May 2019)