Unión Sur Yaiza vs UD San Fernando Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to UD San Fernando as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for a Uni\u00f3n Sur Yaiza win, so the advice rests on a narrow distinction rather than a dominant one. That tension is mirrored in the comparison metrics, where San Fernando leads form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (80.00 vs 20.00), defence (100.00 vs 0.00), Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), goals (71.00 vs 29.00) and total (75.30 vs 24.70), while the head-to-head split of 75.00 to 25.00 is the least lopsided of these measures. The team analysis reinforces the same direction but on a very small sample: San Fernando's "WW" covers just two fixtures, a 5-0 home win and a 0-3 away win, with two clean sheets and no failure to score, whereas Yaiza's "LL" covers two matches, a 0-1 home defeat and a 4-2 away loss. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as San Fernando have scored eight goals at 4.00 per game without conceding, while Yaiza have scored twice at 1.00 per game and conceded five at 2.50 per game, including three of those five in the 46-60 minute window. San Fernando's scoring is spread across the 31-45, 46-60 and 76-90 bands, which suggests their output is not dependent on a single phase, though the sample is only two matches. The last-five records complicate the picture, because San Fernando's sequence includes two defeats and a draw from May and June alongside their two September wins, while Yaiza's five include a win and two draws in May before their current two losses. The head-to-head record is the most substantial evidence and leans toward San Fernando with three wins from four meetings, including a 3-0 home win in March 2026 and a 1-0 away win in November 2025, with Yaiza's only success a 1-0 home win in November 2025. Taken together, the broad trend of San Fernando's superior form, defence and head-to-head record supports the existing advice, but the 50% draw probability and the small two-match samples mean that support is qualified rather than conclusive.

Predicted winner

UD San Fernando

Betting advice

Winner : UD San Fernando

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. UD San Fernando 3–0 Unión Sur Yaiza (29 Mar 2026)
2. Unión Sur Yaiza 0–1 UD San Fernando (15 Nov 2025)
3. UD San Fernando 0–2 Unión Sur Yaiza (02 Apr 2023)
4. Unión Sur Yaiza 0–1 UD San Fernando (03 Dec 2022)