Chile · Primera B

Union San Felipe vs San Luis Prediction

· Estadio Municipal de San Felipe

Union San Felipe badgeUnion San Felipe vs San Luis badgeSan Luis

Match prediction

  • San Luis's superior form, attack, defence, and head-to-head metrics support the model's clear lean toward the away side.
  • Union San Felipe's weak home scoring and frequent failures to score make a home win unlikely, justifying the draw-or-San Luis double chance.
  • The near-even split between away win and draw probabilities explains why the advice hedges with a double chance rather than a straight result.
  • Both teams' goal totals rarely exceed 3.5, so the under 3.5 goals component aligns with their combined low-scoring profiles.
  • Union San Felipe's heavy away defeats inflate their defensive numbers, but their stronger home record still keeps the home win probability low.
  • San Luis's recent away wins and clean sheets reinforce their edge, though their occasional losses prevent treating the outcome as certain.
Predicted winner
San Luis
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or San Luis and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorUnion San FelipeSan Luis
Form14.0%86.0%
Attack10.0%90.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total27.0%73.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Union San Felipe

Recent form: LDWLDLDWLLLWLWDLLDWLLDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

San Luis

Recent form: LDDDDWLWLWLWWDWWDDDWLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. San Luis 4–0 Union San Felipe (05 May 2026)
  2. Union San Felipe 1–0 San Luis (16 Aug 2025)
  3. San Luis 2–1 Union San Felipe (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Union San Felipe 0–0 San Luis (27 Jul 2024)
  5. San Luis 3–1 Union San Felipe (11 Mar 2024)
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