Union San Felipe vs San Luis Prediction
· Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Match prediction
- San Luis's superior form, attack, defence, and head-to-head metrics support the model's clear lean toward the away side.
- Union San Felipe's weak home scoring and frequent failures to score make a home win unlikely, justifying the draw-or-San Luis double chance.
- The near-even split between away win and draw probabilities explains why the advice hedges with a double chance rather than a straight result.
- Both teams' goal totals rarely exceed 3.5, so the under 3.5 goals component aligns with their combined low-scoring profiles.
- Union San Felipe's heavy away defeats inflate their defensive numbers, but their stronger home record still keeps the home win probability low.
- San Luis's recent away wins and clean sheets reinforce their edge, though their occasional losses prevent treating the outcome as certain.
- Predicted winner
- San Luis
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or San Luis and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Union San Felipe | San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Attack | 10.0% | 90.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 27.0% | 73.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Union San Felipe
Recent form: LDWLDLDWLLLWLWDLLDWLLDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
San Luis
Recent form: LDDDDWLWLWLWWDWWDDDWLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- San Luis 4–0 Union San Felipe (05 May 2026)
- Union San Felipe 1–0 San Luis (16 Aug 2025)
- San Luis 2–1 Union San Felipe (12 Apr 2025)
- Union San Felipe 0–0 San Luis (27 Jul 2024)
- San Luis 3–1 Union San Felipe (11 Mar 2024)


