Unión Adarve vs Fuenlabrada Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Uni\u00f3n Adarve via a double-chance call, with home and draw each at 45% against Fuenlabrada's 10%, so the advice essentially treats an Adarve defeat as the least likely outcome. That framing is supported by the comparison metrics, where Adarve's form score of 56.00 and defensive score of 67.00 outstrip Fuenlabrada's 44.00 and 33.00, even though the attack scores are identical at 50.00. However, the Poisson, head-to-head and goals columns all read 0.00, and the head-to-head section is empty, so those components contribute no actual signal and the overall 57.70-to-42.30 split rests mainly on form and defence. Adarve's own record shows a WDD sequence across three league games, with one win, two draws, no defeats, a 0-2 away win at SS Reyes II and a clean sheet on the road, which fits a low-risk, hard-to-beat profile. Fuenlabrada's DLW sequence is more volatile: a 3-1 home win over Torrej\u00f3n sits alongside a 1-3 home loss to M\u00f3stoles and a 0-0 away draw at Alcobendas Sport, and their goals analysis shows all four goals scored and all four conceded coming at home, with zero goals for or against on the road. That home-away split is a meaningful qualifier, because Fuenlabrada's away sample of one league match produced a clean sheet and no goals conceded, while Adarve's defensive solidity is built on a similarly small three-match base. Adarve's goals analysis reinforces the cautious tone, with 1.30 goals scored and only 0.70 conceded per game, and their matches staying under 2.5 goals in all three league outings, whereas Fuenlabrada have already seen one match go over 2.5. The last-five records extend beyond the current league sample, showing Adarve with three draws, a win and a loss, and Fuenlabrada with two draws, two losses and a win, so both teams' broader form is patchy and the distinction between them is narrower than the probabilities imply. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance advice as a reflection of Adarve's unbeaten start and superior defensive rating, but the missing head-to-head and Poisson inputs, the tiny samples, and Fuenlabrada's unbeaten away record mean the 45% draw share is doing much of the work and the outcome remains genuinely uncertain.

Predicted winner

Unión Adarve

Betting advice

Double chance : Unión Adarve or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.