Poland · III Liga - Group 2

Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik Prediction

Unia Swarzędz badgeUnia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik badgeKotwica Kórnik

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a near-even contest, not a confident away win.
  • Kotwica's superior form and attack ratings support their edge, yet their heavy recent defeats expose the volatility behind that advantage.
  • Unia's poor home record, with no wins in four, weakens their case despite head-to-head results favouring them historically.
  • Both sides concede frequently and neither keeps clean sheets, so the draw component of the advice carries genuine weight.
  • Kotwica's late-game defensive collapses suggest they may struggle to protect any lead, reinforcing the value of covering the draw.
  • The narrow head-to-head history, mostly draws and one-goal margins, supports treating this as a tight match rather than a decisive away result.
Predicted winner
Kotwica Kórnik
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Kotwica Kórnik
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorUnia SwarzędzKotwica Kórnik
Form31.0%69.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson34.0%66.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total45.8%54.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Unia Swarzędz

Recent form: WLLWLLDLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Kotwica Kórnik

Recent form: LLDLLWWWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Kotwica Kórnik 1–2 Unia Swarzędz (25 Jul 2026)
  2. Kotwica Kórnik 3–3 Unia Swarzędz (16 May 2025)
  3. Kotwica Kórnik 2–2 Unia Swarzędz (08 Feb 2025)
  4. Unia Swarzędz 1–1 Kotwica Kórnik (18 Oct 2024)
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