Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang Prediction
· Umea Energi Arena
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright away pick, since home win is only 10%.
- Hammarby Talang's superior form, attack, and Poisson metrics support the away lean, though equal defence ratings and Umeå's home edge temper it.
- Hammarby Talang's 13 wins, 10 clean sheets, and 1.00 goals-against average reflect a stronger season profile than Umeå's 11 losses.
- Umeå's recent form is volatile with heavy defeats, yet three wins in five show enough threat to make the draw component of double chance valuable.
- Head-to-head strongly favours Hammarby Talang with seven wins in nine meetings, reinforcing the away side despite Umeå's home venue.
- Both teams concede most goals late, so late-game swings could produce a draw, supporting the cautious double-chance advice over a straight win.
- Predicted winner
- Hammarby Talang
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Hammarby Talang
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Umeå FC | Hammarby Talang |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Umeå FC
Recent form: WLLLWDWDLDDWLLLLLDWWLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Hammarby Talang
Recent form: LWWDWWWWWLWWDWWDLDDLWDLW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Hammarby Talang 1–2 Umeå FC (06 Apr 2026)
- Umeå FC 1–2 Hammarby Talang (21 Sep 2024)
- Hammarby Talang 1–2 Umeå FC (12 May 2024)
- Umeå FC 0–1 Hammarby Talang (01 Oct 2023)
- Hammarby Talang 3–2 Umeå FC (13 May 2023)