Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland

Umeå FC Akademi vs IFK Umeå Prediction

Umeå FC Akademi badgeUmeå FC Akademi vs IFK Umeå badgeIFK Umeå

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 50 percent each, so the win advice rests on comparative strength rather than a decisive probability edge.
  • Umeå FC Akademi's perfect recent record, including a 5-1 win at IFK Umeå, supports the home winner despite the level probability split.
  • IFK Umeå's single win in twenty matches and ten-match losing streak make an away result highly unlikely, reinforcing the home side of the combo.
  • Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets, so the +1.5 goals component aligns with their defensive records.
  • Umeå FC Akademi's goals cluster late while IFK Umeå concede heavily after the break, suggesting scoring is likelier as the match progresses.
  • The 3-3 head-to-head draw shows IFK Umeå can score against this opponent, a caution against treating the home win as automatic.
Predicted winner
Umeå FC Akademi
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Umeå FC Akademi and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorUmeå FC AkademiIFK Umeå
Form92.0%8.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson78.0%22.0%
H2h91.0%9.0%
Goals72.0%28.0%
Total79.7%20.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Umeå FC Akademi

Recent form: WDLLWDDDLLDLDLLWWWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

IFK Umeå

Recent form: LLLLLLLLLLDWLLLLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. IFK Umeå 1–5 Umeå FC Akademi (26 Aug 2026)
  2. Umeå FC Akademi 3–3 IFK Umeå (15 Jun 2026)
  3. IFK Umeå 1–4 Umeå FC Akademi (06 May 2026)
  4. IFK Umeå 0–1 Umeå FC Akademi (25 Sep 2020)
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