Sweden · Division 2 - Norrland
Umeå FC Akademi vs IFK Umeå Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 50 percent each, so the win advice rests on comparative strength rather than a decisive probability edge.
- Umeå FC Akademi's perfect recent record, including a 5-1 win at IFK Umeå, supports the home winner despite the level probability split.
- IFK Umeå's single win in twenty matches and ten-match losing streak make an away result highly unlikely, reinforcing the home side of the combo.
- Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets, so the +1.5 goals component aligns with their defensive records.
- Umeå FC Akademi's goals cluster late while IFK Umeå concede heavily after the break, suggesting scoring is likelier as the match progresses.
- The 3-3 head-to-head draw shows IFK Umeå can score against this opponent, a caution against treating the home win as automatic.
- Predicted winner
- Umeå FC Akademi
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Umeå FC Akademi and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Umeå FC Akademi | IFK Umeå |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92.0% | 8.0% |
| Attack | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Goals | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Total | 79.7% | 20.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Umeå FC Akademi
Recent form: WDLLWDDDLLDLDLLWWWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
IFK Umeå
Recent form: LLLLLLLLLLDWLLLLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- IFK Umeå 1–5 Umeå FC Akademi (26 Aug 2026)
- Umeå FC Akademi 3–3 IFK Umeå (15 Jun 2026)
- IFK Umeå 1–4 Umeå FC Akademi (06 May 2026)
- IFK Umeå 0–1 Umeå FC Akademi (25 Sep 2020)


