South-Korea · K3 League

Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen Prediction

· Ulsan Complex Stadium

Ulsan Citizen badgeUlsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen badgeSiheung Citizen

Match prediction

  • Siheung's dominant form and attack ratings, plus a perfect head-to-head record at this venue, justify the model's away lean.
  • The 45% draw probability nearly matches Siheung's win share, so the double-chance advice sensibly hedges against a tight, low-scoring contest.
  • Ulsan's modest scoring output and frequent failures to score suggest their 10% win probability is appropriately suppressed.
  • Identical defensive ratings for both sides indicate this edge stems from Siheung's superior attack and form rather than any defensive mismatch.
  • Siheung's recent run of four wins in five contrasts sharply with Ulsan's inconsistency, reinforcing the away-favoured prediction.
  • Both teams' goals cluster late, so the draw component of the advice gains credibility if the match stays level into the closing stages.
Predicted winner
Siheung Citizen
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Siheung Citizen
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorUlsan CitizenSiheung Citizen
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson29.0%71.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals11.0%89.0%
Total33.6%66.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Ulsan Citizen

Recent form: WLWLWDLDLLDLLLDWWLWWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Siheung Citizen

Recent form: WWWWWWWWDWDWDWWDLLWWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Siheung Citizen (09 May 2026)
  2. Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Siheung Citizen (26 Sep 2025)
  3. Siheung Citizen 2–1 Ulsan Citizen (31 May 2025)
  4. Siheung Citizen 2–0 Ulsan Citizen (27 Jul 2024)
  5. Ulsan Citizen 0–2 Siheung Citizen (14 Apr 2024)
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