Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the coherent read, since only 10% is assigned to Ulinzi Stars.
- Head-to-head favors Mathare United at 62%, but the last meeting went Ulinzi's way, so that edge is real yet not decisive.
- Both teams' form, attack, defence and Poisson values are all zero, meaning the probabilities rest on head-to-head and goals splits rather than current-season data.
- The goals comparison splits 57% to 43% in Mathare's favor, a modest gap that supports their inclusion without implying dominance.
- Each side's last-five sample contains only a single 1-0 win, too thin to treat as meaningful form evidence.
- With home and away probabilities equal at 45%, the draw leg carries as much weight as the Mathare win, justifying the combined double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Mathare United
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Mathare United
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ulinzi Stars | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ulinzi Stars
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Mathare United
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ulinzi Stars 2–1 Mathare United (23 May 2026)
- Mathare United 1–0 Ulinzi Stars (16 Jan 2026)
- Mathare United 1–0 Ulinzi Stars (17 May 2025)
- Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Mathare United (01 Dec 2024)
- Mathare United 1–1 Ulinzi Stars (21 Jun 2023)