World · UEFA Nations League

Ukraine vs Hungary Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ukraine or draw and -2.5 goals

Ukraine badgeUkraine vs Hungary badgeHungary

Match prediction

  • Ukraine's perfect comparison scores in attack, defence, head-to-head and goals underpin the model's 50% home win probability and the double-chance advice.
  • Hungary's zero attack and defence comparison scores, plus two failed-to-score games, explain why the model gives them no win probability.
  • The draw carries equal 50% probability, so the advice sensibly combines Ukraine or draw rather than backing an outright home win.
  • Both teams' recent matches and the head-to-head meeting produced at most one goal, directly supporting the under 2.5 goals selection.
  • Ukraine's two clean sheets and Hungary's single goal conceded in two games point to a low-scoring contest despite Ukraine's stronger overall form.
  • The narrow 1-0 head-to-head result and Hungary's clean sheet away record caution that Ukraine's edge may not translate into a comfortable margin.
Predicted winner
Ukraine
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Ukraine or draw and -2.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
-2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorUkraineHungary
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total80.0%20.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Ukraine

Recent form: WD.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Hungary

Recent form: LD.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Hungary 0–1 Ukraine (25 Sep 2026)
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