Újpest II vs Szolnoki MAV FC Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Újpest II as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice of a Újpest II win combined with over 2.5 goals rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Újpest II leads on form (63.00 to 38.00), attack (60.00 to 40.00), defence (58.00 to 42.00) and especially Poisson (76.00 to 24.00), while the head-to-head split of 50.00 apiece offers no directional help. The goals comparison complicates the picture, since Szolnoki MAV FC carries the higher goals value (83.00 to 17.00) even though Újpest II holds the broader total (54.00 to 46.20), suggesting the away side's scoring profile is volatile rather than consistently superior. Újpest II's own record shows why the win case is plausible but not secure: eight matches produced three wins, four draws and one loss, with no home defeats, yet the recent 0-3 loss at Honvéd II and a 2-2 home draw against Szeged-Csanád II show they can be held or beaten. Szolnoki MAV FC's eight matches yielded four wins, two draws and two losses, but both defeats came away from home, and their last five include a 4-4 draw with Monori Se plus three further draws, underlining their tendency to share points. The goals analysis supports the over 2.5 element more than the winner element, as Újpest II averaged 2.90 goals for and 1.60 against, while Szolnoki MAV FC averaged 2.40 for and 2.30 against, and both teams conceded most heavily in the 46-75 minute window. The last-five records add further qualification: Újpest II's sequence includes a 6-1 home win over Szegedi VSE and a 5-3 away win at Vasas II, whereas Szolnoki MAV FC's best recent result was a 3-1 home win over Komárom, with their away form limited to draws at Szegedi VSE. The head-to-head record is small and dated, comprising only two 2022-23 meetings in which the away team won both times, including a 5-0 Szolnoki MAV FC victory at Újpest II, so it weakly contradicts the home-winner advice without being decisive. Overall, the form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics jointly favour Újpest II and the goal figures support a high-scoring game, but the equal home and draw probabilities, Szolnoki MAV FC's higher goals value and the away side's habit of drawing mean the combo advice should be treated as a plausible lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Újpest II

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Újpest II and +2.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Újpest II 0–5 Szolnoki MAV FC (29 Mar 2023)
2. Szolnoki MAV FC 0–1 Újpest II (25 Sep 2022)