Újpest II vs Monori Se Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits draw and Monori Se at 45 percent each, leaving Újpest II only 10 percent, so the double chance is the natural expression of that near-even split.
- Monori Se's head-to-head dominance and superior goals share support the away lean, though Újpest II's stronger recent form and home record qualify it.
- Újpest II scores heavily at home while Monori Se's away defence concedes two per game, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Monori Se's tendency toward draws, four in nine, reinforces the draw half of the double chance rather than a straight away win.
- Újpest II's perfect home record without defeat conflicts with its low win probability, suggesting the model weighs head-to-head and goals data more heavily than venue form.
- Both teams' goal distributions cluster in the middle and later periods, indicating scoring is likely enough to clear the 1.5 threshold.
- Predicted winner
- Monori Se
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Monori Se and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Újpest II | Monori Se |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Újpest II
Recent form: WDLWDWWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.
Monori Se
Recent form: LDLWWDWDD.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Újpest II 0–1 Monori Se (21 Feb 2026)
- Újpest II 0–1 Monori Se (09 Jul 2025)
- Újpest II 1–4 Monori Se (12 Apr 2023)
- Monori Se 0–1 Újpest II (09 Oct 2022)
- Monori Se 1–1 Újpest II (27 Mar 2021)