Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie B
Újezd Praha 4 vs Slovan Velvary Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favourite tempers confidence.
- Újezd's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, but Velvary's perfect head-to-head and goals records are a genuine counterweight.
- Velvary's away defensive record of three goals conceded per game suggests the +1.5 goals component is well supported.
- Both teams' recent matches have generally produced goals, reinforcing the over 1.5 selection despite Újezd's modest scoring totals.
- The single prior meeting, a Velvary cup win, is too small a sample to outweigh Újezd's stronger current-season metrics.
- Újezd's home form includes a heavy loss and a clean sheet, so the home-or-draw advice carries risk rather than certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Újezd Praha 4
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Újezd Praha 4 or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Újezd Praha 4 | Slovan Velvary |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 62.3% | 38.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Újezd Praha 4
Recent form: DWLWWLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Slovan Velvary
Recent form: WDWWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Újezd Praha 4 0–1 Slovan Velvary (09 Aug 2023)


