Uganda vs Congo DR Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Uganda or draw and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- Uganda's 45% win probability matches the draw exactly, so the model's double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Congo DR's 10% win probability is the outlier, suggesting the model sees little chance of an away victory despite their superior attacking and form metrics.
- Uganda's perfect defensive rating and Congo DR's zero rating conflict with Congo's stronger attack and form scores, which is why the model hedges toward double chance.
- The recent 2-0 Uganda win over Congo DR directly supports the home-or-draw advice, though one match is a small sample.
- Both teams' goal data show almost every match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under component of the combined advice.
- Head-to-head favors Uganda 64 to 36, but Congo DR's better overall form and attack metrics keep the draw probability elevated.
- Predicted winner
- Uganda
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Uganda or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Uganda | Congo DR |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Uganda
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Congo DR
Recent form: WDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Congo DR 0–2 Uganda (02 Oct 2026)
- Congo DR 1–0 Uganda (14 Jun 2023)
- Congo DR 0–0 Uganda (14 Jan 2023)
- Congo DR 0–2 Uganda (22 Jun 2019)