Israel · Liga Alef

Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem Prediction

Tzeirey Tira badgeTzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem badgeFC Jerusalem

Match prediction

  • FC Jerusalem's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence metrics justify the model's away lean despite Tzeirey Tira's historical head-to-head parity.
  • Tzeirey Tira's four straight defeats with only one goal scored expose an attacking collapse that undermines any home advantage.
  • The 45% draw probability nearly matches the away win, so the advice carries real risk given FC Jerusalem's two draws in four matches.
  • FC Jerusalem's away form is notably stronger than their home form, supporting the prediction despite the fixture being played at Tzeirey Tira.
  • Tzeirey Tira's defensive record of two goals conceded per game suggests FC Jerusalem should create chances even without dominance.
  • The head-to-head split and a 7-1 away win for FC Jerusalem in 2024 show this matchup can produce lopsided results.
Predicted winner
FC Jerusalem
Betting advice
Winner : FC Jerusalem
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorTzeirey TiraFC Jerusalem
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack13.0%88.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson6.0%94.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total27.6%72.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Tzeirey Tira

Recent form: LLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

FC Jerusalem

Recent form: WDWD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FC Jerusalem —–— Tzeirey Tira (10 Apr 2026)
  2. Tzeirey Tira 2–0 FC Jerusalem (01 Jan 2026)
  3. FC Jerusalem 2–2 Tzeirey Tira (03 Jan 2025)
  4. Tzeirey Tira 1–7 FC Jerusalem (07 Sep 2024)
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