Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the coherent expression of a near-even contest.
• Hapoel's superior form and attack ratings, plus a 70% Poisson edge, justify favouring them within that double chance.
• Tzeirei's four-match winless run, including a 5-1 loss, explains why their outright win probability is only 10%.
• Both attacks average under two goals and both defences concede 1.5 per game, supporting the draw half of the advice.
• The head-to-head is perfectly split and includes a goalless draw, reinforcing that no side dominates this fixture.
• Hapoel's three draws in four matches show they avoid defeat but rarely win, which is exactly what double chance captures.

Predicted winner

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm —–— Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (25 Apr 2026)
2. Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0–0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (13 Jan 2026)