Txantrea vs Bidezarra Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Txantrea a 45% home win and 45% draw against Bidezarra’s 10%, framing the advice as a Txantrea-or-draw double chance combined with under 3.5 goals. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Txantrea leads on form (80 versus 20), attack (100 versus 0), Poisson (100 versus 0) and overall totals (62.30 versus 37.80), while Bidezarra’s only relative edge is a narrow 55–45 defensive split. The team analysis reinforces the same direction but also exposes the small sample: Txantrea’s LDW record over three games includes a 4-0 away loss and only one clean sheet, whereas Bidezarra’s DLL start has produced no wins, no goals and three failures to score. The goals analysis makes the under 3.5 component plausible, since Txantrea have scored just twice in three matches and Bidezarra have not scored at all, although Txantrea’s defensive numbers are less secure after conceding four in a single game. The last-five records add context rather than certainty: Txantrea’s sequence includes a 1-0 win at San Juan, a 1-1 home draw with Cirbonero and a 4-0 defeat at Avance Ezcabarte, while Bidezarra’s most recent five show a 0-4 home loss to Izarra, a 2-0 away loss at Cortes and a 0-0 home draw with Beti Kozkor. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight, as Bidezarra won the most recent meeting 4-2 and have taken four of the last eight encounters, which is why the 60–40 h2h split for Txantrea is far less dominant than the form and Poisson gaps. Those older results also show both teams scoring in several meetings, so the under 3.5 advice is a qualification of the double chance rather than a separate certainty. Overall, the evidence points toward Txantrea avoiding defeat as the more defensible part of the prediction, while the low-scoring expectation rests on Bidezarra’s scoreless start and Txantrea’s modest output rather than on a long, reliable trend.

Predicted winner

Txantrea

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Txantrea or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Bidezarra 4–2 Txantrea (18 Apr 2026)
2. Txantrea 2–1 Bidezarra (13 Dec 2025)
3. Bidezarra 0–1 Txantrea (26 Apr 2025)
4. Txantrea 0–1 Bidezarra (14 Dec 2024)
5. Bidezarra 0–2 Txantrea (03 Feb 2024)