Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Match prediction

• The model splits home and draw evenly at 50%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear Tusker edge.
• Head-to-head favors Tusker 71% to 29%, yet Mara Sugar won both 2025 league meetings, weakening any assumption of home dominance.
• Recent form and goal averages are empty for both sides, so those inputs cannot support or contradict the prediction.
• Tusker's last five show a win and a draw, while Mara Sugar's only listed match was a loss, a thin but mildly positive signal.
• With away win probability at zero, the model treats a Mara Sugar victory as implausible despite their recent head-to-head wins.

Predicted winner

Tusker

Betting advice

Double chance : Tusker or draw

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tusker 0–1 Mara Sugar (24 Apr 2026)
2. Mara Sugar 0–1 Tusker (29 Nov 2025)
3. Mara Sugar 1–1 Tusker (06 Apr 2025)
4. Tusker 2–1 Mara Sugar (27 Nov 2024)
5. Mara Sugar 1–2 Tusker (18 Sep 2022)