Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd

TuS Geretsried vs Kirchanschöring Prediction

TuS Geretsried badgeTuS Geretsried vs Kirchanschöring badgeKirchanschöring

Match prediction

  • Kirchanschöring's 45% win probability and 45% draw probability together justify the draw-or-away double chance, though the split signals real uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
  • Geretsried's five straight defeats without scoring in the last five make their 10% win probability credible, weakening any case for the home side.
  • Kirchanschöring's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics support the away lean, but their own poor away record and lack of clean sheets qualify it.
  • Both teams concede frequently and neither keeps clean sheets, so the draw component of the advice carries genuine weight alongside the away win.
  • The head-to-head sample is only two matches, so its 80% away edge should be treated as suggestive rather than decisive.
  • Geretsried's attack rating of zero reflects a severe scoring drought, making a home win the least likely outcome despite home advantage.
Predicted winner
Kirchanschöring
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Kirchanschöring
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorTuS GeretsriedKirchanschöring
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total35.0%65.2%

Team form and goal analysis

TuS Geretsried

Recent form: LLDWDWLLLLLD.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Kirchanschöring

Recent form: LDWLDLLWLDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Kirchanschöring 1–1 TuS Geretsried (25 Apr 2026)
  2. TuS Geretsried 2–4 Kirchanschöring (12 Oct 2025)
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