Oberliga - Hamburg · Germany
Tus Dassendorf vs HT16 Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Tus Dassendorf a 45% home win and 45% draw probability, leaving HT16 at just 10%, which frames the double-chance advice as a cautious lean rather than a strong home verdict. That caution is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Tus Dassendorf lead on form (57 vs 43), defence (40 vs 60), Poisson (91 vs 9), head-to-head (100 vs 0) and goals (83 vs 17), yet attack is dead level at 50 apiece, so the edge is built on solidity and projection rather than superior firepower. Tus Dassendorf's own record supports that reading: six wins, one draw and one loss from eight, with a five-match winning streak, no failure to score in any game, and a defence conceding only 0.90 goals per game, including just two goals across four away fixtures. HT16's profile is far more volatile, with four wins and four defeats, no draws at all, and a stark home-away split of 3.50 goals scored per home game against 0.50 away, plus two away blanks that hint at travel-day fragility. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast, since Tus Dassendorf average 2.90 scored and 0.90 conceded while HT16 average 2.00 and 1.40, and HT16's away scoring dependence makes their attacking threat harder to project at this venue. Recent form is mixed for both: Tus Dassendorf's last five read W-L-W-W-W, including a 4-2 away win at Niendorfer TSV but a 1-2 home loss to Paloma, while HT16's last five read W-L-W-L-W, with both defeats coming away and both wins arriving at home by 5-1 and 2-0 scorelines. The head-to-head record is the most direct qualifier of the advice, because although Tus Dassendorf won the most recent meeting 2-1 at home in December 2025, HT16 had earlier won 8-1 away in August 2025, so the 100-0 head-to-head split rests on a very small and internally contradictory sample. Overall, the evidence points toward Tus Dassendorf avoiding defeat as the more defensible outcome, but the level attack metric, HT16's capacity for high-scoring home performances and that 8-1 anomaly mean the double chance should be treated as a probabilistic lean rather than a settled conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- Tus Dassendorf
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Tus Dassendorf or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tus Dassendorf | HT16 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Total | 64.2% | 35.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tus Dassendorf
Recent form: DWWWWWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.
HT16
Recent form: LLWWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Tus Dassendorf 2–1 HT16 (06 Dec 2025)
- HT16 1–8 Tus Dassendorf (05 Aug 2025)


