Turriff United vs Rothes Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Turriff United in a double-chance combination with over 1.5 goals, but the 45% home and 45% draw probabilities show that this is closer to a hedge against defeat than a confident home win, with Rothes given only 10%. That caution is partly explained by the form comparison, where both sides sit level at 50.00, even though Turriff's recent sequence of DWWWLLLLLWL includes a three-win streak and Rothes' LLLLLWLLLL is almost entirely defeats. The comparison metrics diverge more sharply elsewhere: Turriff leads attack 60 to 40, defence 69 to 31, Poisson 87 to 13, head-to-head 80 to 20, goals 80 to 20, and total 71 to 29, so the model's edge rests on a broad statistical gap rather than on current form alone. Turriff's team analysis shows 11 matches with four wins, one draw and six losses, three clean sheets and only two failures to score, while Rothes have 10 matches with one win, nine losses, no clean sheets and six scoreless outings, which supports the view that Turriff are the more functional side. The goals analysis reinforces that contrast: Turriff average 1.10 scored and 1.50 conceded per match, whereas Rothes average 0.70 scored and 4.80 conceded, a defensive record so extreme that it makes the +1.5 goals element of the advice look plausible. Rothes' last five results, including 0-8 and 1-7 defeats plus 0-5 losses to Banks O' Dee and Buckie Thistle, suggest a team in severe difficulty, although their 3-2 win over Wick Academy shows they are not entirely without a scoring threat. Turriff's last five are less convincing, with four defeats and a single 2-1 win over Huntly, so their statistical superiority is not mirrored by convincing recent performances and the draw probability may reflect that inconsistency. The head-to-head record is also mixed rather than one-sided: Turriff have won 3-0 at home and 5-0 away in the most recent meetings, but Rothes have recorded 3-2, 6-1 and 4-1 home wins in this series, which qualifies any assumption that Turriff dominate this fixture. Overall, the evidence supports the existing double-chance and over 1.5 goals advice through Rothes' defensive collapse and Turriff's superior comparison metrics, but Turriff's poor recent form, the level form scores and the historically competitive head-to-head keep the prediction uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Turriff United

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Turriff United or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Turriff United 3–0 Rothes (07 Mar 2026)
2. Rothes 0–5 Turriff United (28 Jan 2026)
3. Turriff United 3–0 Rothes (29 Mar 2025)
4. Rothes 3–2 Turriff United (02 Nov 2024)
5. Rothes 1–3 Turriff United (16 Mar 2024)