Germany · Oberliga - Hessen

TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen Prediction

TuBa Pohlheim badgeTuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen badgeFC Gießen

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • TuBa Pohlheim's stronger form and defensive metrics, plus a dominant head-to-head record, support favouring them or a draw.
  • FC Giessen's away scoring collapses to 0.40 goals per game, undermining their chances of an outright win despite the draw's high probability.
  • TuBa Pohlheim's attack and defence ratings sit near average, so the home win probability is capped and the draw remains a live outcome.
  • FC Giessen's recent form is poor with heavy away defeats, reinforcing the low 10% away win probability in the model.
  • Both teams' goal patterns lean toward lower totals, consistent with the model offering no under/over selection.
Predicted winner
TuBa Pohlheim
Betting advice
Double chance : TuBa Pohlheim or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorTuBa PohlheimFC Gießen
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson85.0%15.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals83.0%17.0%
Total67.3%32.7%

Team form and goal analysis

TuBa Pohlheim

Recent form: LWDWWWLDWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

FC Gießen

Recent form: LDDDLLLLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FC Gießen 1–1 TuBa Pohlheim (29 Apr 2026)
  2. TuBa Pohlheim 4–0 FC Gießen (20 Aug 2025)
  3. FC Gießen —–— TuBa Pohlheim (11 Jul 2022)
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