TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the logical expression of an unbeaten home profile.
• TSC's eleven-match record without defeat, including six draws, supports covering the draw rather than backing a straight home win.
• Grafičar's seven losses in eleven matches and five away defeats justify the low 10% away probability despite their recent home win.
• TSC's superior defensive score and Poisson share indicate Grafičar's away scoring threat is limited, reinforcing the cautious double-chance selection.
• Grafičar concedes most goals late, so TSC's habit of scoring after the break could turn a tight match without eliminating draw risk.
• Head-to-head favors TSC overall, but Grafičar won the most recent meeting, a caution against treating the home side as dominant.

Predicted winner

TSC Backa Topola

Betting advice

Double chance : TSC Backa Topola or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Grafičar 2–0 TSC Backa Topola (29 Oct 2025)
2. TSC Backa Topola 2–1 Grafičar (01 Feb 2023)
3. TSC Backa Topola 4–2 Grafičar (05 Jul 2022)