III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Troszyn vs ŁKS Łódź II Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward ŁKS Łódź II as a combo winner with over 1.5 goals, though its 45% away-win and 45% draw probabilities against only 10% for Troszyn suggest this is a lean rather than a confident call. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where ŁKS Łódź II leads on form (63 vs 38), attack (64 vs 36), defence (45 vs 55) and Poisson (69 vs 31), yet the total scores of 60.30 versus 40.00 still leave meaningful room for the home side. Troszyn's nine-match record of one win, three draws and five losses, including a four-game losing streak, contrasts with ŁKS Łódź II's three wins, one draw and five losses, but both teams have lost five times, so the gap is narrower than the headline numbers imply. The goals analysis adds a further qualifier: Troszyn concede 2.60 per game overall and 3.00 at home, while ŁKS Łódź II concede exactly 2.00 both home and away, pointing to a leaky home defence that could keep the game open. ŁKS Łódź II's scoring profile of 1.70 per game, with 31.25% of goals in the 46-60 minute window and 25% in the 76-90 window, supports the over 1.5 element, as does Troszyn's record of scoring in eight of nine matches. However, Troszyn's own goal output of 1.20 per game and their tendency to stay under 2.5 goals in eight of nine matches suggest the over 1.5 line is more plausible than a high-scoring blowout. The last-five records show Troszyn with one win, three draws and one loss, and ŁKS Łódź II with three wins, one draw and one loss, so recent form favours the visitors even though Troszyn's draws show they are not easily beaten. The head-to-head section is empty, meaning there is no historical meeting data to either confirm or undermine the model's lean, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are also zero, so those inputs carry no weight. Overall, the evidence points toward ŁKS Łódź II as the more likely winner in a match that should produce at least two goals, but the draw probability and Troszyn's habit of grinding out results mean the advice should be treated as a moderate lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- ŁKS Łódź II
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : ŁKS Łódź II and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Troszyn | ŁKS Łódź II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Troszyn
Recent form: LLLLDDWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
ŁKS Łódź II
Recent form: LLLLLWWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


