Norway · 3. Division - Girone 5
Tromsø II vs Finnsnes Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home win and draw evenly at 45 percent each, so the double chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Tromsø II's superior form, attack, and defence ratings support avoiding an away win, though the modest 59 to 41 total margin signals a close contest.
- Finnsnes' recent five-match losing run and 2.20 away goals-against average reinforce the case against backing them outright.
- Tromsø II's own form string is inconsistent and their last five include three defeats, which explains why the model stops short of a home win.
- Head-to-head and goals comparisons are perfectly level, so neither side's historical record justifies moving beyond the cautious double chance.
- Finnsnes' perfect penalty record and late-scoring tendency add variance that the draw component of the advice usefully absorbs.
- Predicted winner
- Tromsø II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Tromsø II or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Tromsø II | Finnsnes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Defence | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Tromsø II
Recent form: DLLDDLLLWDLLLWWDLLLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Finnsnes
Recent form: DLWWLWWWWDWLWWLWLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Finnsnes 3–1 Tromsø II (10 May 2026)
- Tromsø II 3–1 Finnsnes (29 Sep 2021)
- Tromsø II —–— Finnsnes (19 Sep 2020)