Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas Prediction
Match prediction
- The model gives Trival Valderas and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-total exclusion of a Las Rozas win rather than home superiority.
- Trival Valderas' unbeaten four-match start, including two draws, supports the draw leg of the double chance despite Las Rozas also avoiding defeat.
- Las Rozas' superior attack and scoring average conflict with the advice, but their leaky defence and weaker head-to-head record offset that threat.
- The head-to-head record leans toward Trival Valderas, yet the frequent draws within it reinforce the caution behind covering both outcomes.
- Both teams' low-scoring, tight recent matches suggest a narrow contest where the draw remains a genuine possibility alongside a home win.
- Small samples of three or four league games limit the reliability of form and goal metrics, so the advice appropriately hedges rather than backing a single winner.
- Predicted winner
- Trival Valderas
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Trival Valderas or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Trival Valderas | Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Trival Valderas
Recent form: WDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Las Rozas
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Trival Valderas 3–1 Las Rozas (07 Jun 2026)
- Las Rozas 1–1 Trival Valderas (31 May 2026)
- Las Rozas 2–3 Trival Valderas (22 Mar 2026)
- Trival Valderas 1–2 Las Rozas (09 Nov 2025)
- Trival Valderas 1–1 Las Rozas (16 Mar 2025)


